New computer model may help predict where Ebola may spread next. The new model analyses how the changes in environment as well as human societies can affect the spread of the Ebola virus. It forecasts that if temperatures continue to rise then the outbreaks may be 60% more likely to take place by the year 2070.
Ebola claims the life of nearly all people that contract the disease. In earlier Ebola outbreaks, the no. of death cases has increased to around 90%. As such, gaining the ability to predict where the virus could spread its wings next could help save the lives of several people. With the help of the model, the disease will be spotted early; people will receive care beforehand and take necessary steps to prevent the spread of the disease.
Moreover, the new model could gradually be utilized to determine where people could get vaccinated before an Ebola outbreak strikes. Or, it could even help a government take precautionary steps at the borders where chances of ill travellers spreading the disease is high. In fact, the model can be altered to address various other diseases as well.
The study on the model is published in the journal Nature Communications.